An article in the New York Times predicts that President Donald J. Trump will be elected to a second term in-spite of his declining approval rating, based on the electoral college.
On July 19, 2019, Nate Cohn wrote an article for the New York Times entitled “Trump’s Electoral College Edge Could Grow in 2020, Rewarding Polarizing Campaign.”
Despite a growing divide in American politics, it’s looking more and more that the divide between the left and right will split favorably for the Republicans in the Electoral College.
Polls show that Donald Trump’s approval rating has gone down to around 35%. The polls indicate voters don’t like him. So that should tell us he won’t serve a second term.
No president of the United States can serve in office for more than 10 years. That means a sitting president can be re-elected for a second term.
But my head still hurts just how badly the predictions of 2016 went south. Hillary Clinton was regarded as the candidate to win the election by an impressive margin. The New York Times gave her a very wide chance of success, even though as the night progressed it became obvious the two candidates switched sides and Trump won by a wide margin of electoral votes.
Since then I’ve become a critic of polls. They obviously don’t work.